Showing posts with label Potus. Show all posts

Is the Presidential Mania of India's Narendra Modi Driving a Square Peg in Its Round Democratic System?

"It would not be impossible to prove with sufficient repetition and a psychological understanding of the people concerned that a square is in fact a circle. They are mere words, and words can be moulded until they clothe ideas and disguise." ― Joseph Goebbels

There is at least one Indian politician who is the Chief Minister of the state of Gujrath,Narendra Modi, who seem to firmly believe in the Nazi theory of propaganda even now.

Modi thinks that by insanely pushing his "Gujrath Model" of governance for development, he can make 1.3 billion Indians believe that he can govern them like a POTUS and deliver prosperity.
Modi thinks that by insanely pushing his "Gujrath Model"
of governance for development, he can make 1.3 billion
Indians believe that he can govern them like a POTUS 

At least that is what his Indo-US backers and millions of urban youth in India who try to emulate this expatriate Indian group of "business genius", want him and his party the BJP, which is desperate to regain power after two lost elections, to believe.

In reality, for American business, who count on these guys to steer key functions in billion dollar corporations and their lobby to win business in India through political connections, it is time for a reality check.

Judging from their comprehension of Indian history and recent political development and grasp of reality on the ground, those businesses which engage or trust them to deliver, don't seem to be standing on any solid ground.

What language Will the POTUS-I speak?

Anyone who speak of a POTUS style governance for India forgets that there is only ONE language the POTUS and the citizens of the US speak. In a country deeply divided by nearly 400 languages and dialects, steeped in as many different culture and traditions, what language the POTIS-I is going to speak to deliver governance.

India, at best, is like the European Union. If ever there was a president of Europe, it was Adolf Hitler. If seventy years after Hitler proved it to be impossible for anyone to unite and rule Europe, if it still remains impossible it is simply because no European country has given up its language, despite accepting a single currency and a European Parliament.

If economically advanced Europe can't do it, it is sheer fallacy to pretend third world India can accept anything like it , unless of course Narendra Modi intends to become an Adolf Hitler.

Only External Aggression Can Unify Indian States.

Three hundred years back India was a land mass of warring fiefdoms. Despite all pretences to be otherwise, it still is one where people kill each other over language, religion and essential resources like water, job opportunities rather than share them.

The British discovered that gun powder can make them fall in line and the English language can tie them together in to an obedient lot.

Though the single language also proved the medium of expression of national pride and hatred of foreign rulers, eventually driving the British away, it has not remained a binding force once the British left.
The misguided administrative restructuring of India in to linguistic states really ended any chance of India being ever united or be ruled under a president democratically.

Since then only a real or imaginary threat of external aggression is the only force which brought any sense of unity among the 1.3 billion people who still call them Indians.

Though the Indian National Congress started out as the unifying movement which dislodged the British rule, starting from the post Independence division of India, it has only disintegrated under the natural political and cultural diversity which really make up the Indian Sub Continent.

Where do Narendra Modi and His Backers Get This Funny Notion?

The post 2002 communal riots Gujrath has withdrawn from the national stream under shame and self defence and huddled behind Modi and the BJP, allowing Narendra Modi to perpetuate a "presidential" form of governance.
In reality, the ethnic cleansing and other form of oppression of minorities which ensued in the years following the infamous riots of 2002 which has made Modi and the BJP to destroy the democratic fabric and balance of the state and project a degree of development, which is thin on the social side.

Virtually, there is no one other than Narendra Modi who governs Gujrath, even though the Indian democratic system envisage a council of elected ministers headed by the Chief Minister to make decisions and take responsibility.

That suits very well a lot of Industrialists who have invested in Gujrath because they really need to talk to one politician to get things done, unlike the governments in many other states and at the centre in Delhi. But that hardly is the Indian Democracy and will only harm the Investors in the long run.

However, such blatant power grabbing approach of Modi has only brought criticism from his own party, which today stands split in the middle.
A self-centered leader who has shown that he cares two hoots for the party organisation and long-time party colleagues in his own state has suddenly become all powerful in the BJP's national scheme of things, whereas a selfless leader who toiled for many decades to build the party brick by brick is being cast aside as a useless relic," Kulkarni.

Narendra Modi, a Political and Cultural Pariah in His Own Country.

Ironically, for a politician with Presidential aspirations, no one really wants Modi in their states! He is banned from campaigning in Bihar, ridiculed as Rambo for claiming unrealistic rescue work in neighbouring Utrakhand, stopped from campaigning in Karnataka where his party lost miserably in a recent election and has sent the communists of Kerala bizerk over his visit to a Hindu religious venue.

Despite all this here is some one and millions with him who believe he is the Obama of India.

Will, Narendra Modi who harbours unrealistic political ambitions to become the Prime Minister of India by hook or crook, the Hindu religious outfit RSS which props him up with an aim to grab the power in New Delhi to control and rule India on their Hindutwa agenda, the Industrialists who have found in Modi an easy and profitable access to India's untapped resources, an Indo American lobby which just want their man to rule India as well as a generation of youngsters to whom life had been nothing but a breeze thanks to the struggle of their parents, ever get in to their heads the fallacy of their ambitions?

The problem is in their enthusiasm for the grant idea, they forget the realities of the Indian Politics and why their dream of a Presidential style governance of India will never be a reality.

Article first published in CNN-IBN Blogs

Six Reasons Why Barack Obama Could Be Another Three Term POTUS In the Making.

For those who believe in celestial interventions in affairs on the earth, there were indications of the re election of President Barack Obama and even a third term in office. But for mundane observers, a look at the events to the run up of the presidential election, its conduct and the post election realities raise the question whether Barack Obama will be the next three term president of the U.S. In fact most of the issuesObama is likely to address might need well over a decade to solve and for a determined President too difficult to give up before he achieve.

A taller President.
By achieving the impossible and winning the re election, Barack Obama has grown taller in stature virtually dwarfing almost everyone else, not just in the U.S. but on the world scene.
First, let's remember what Obama did in the first term: he passed the most substantial new element in the American safety net in generations, Obamacare. He helped pass a massive re-regulation of the financial sector, the Dodd-Frank bill. He passed the biggest stimulus package in our history, which I believe--Ezra Klein convinced me of this--prevented the worst economic depression in four generations. He did these things in the first two years, of course, when Democrats controlled Congress, but he did them. They were not chopped liver, whether or not you liked them. Q&As, Washington Post
However, everyone tends to forget the enormity of the unprecedented Post Lehman gloom and doom and impending recession Barack Obama was send out to put right. What is not clear, at least to the rest of the world not familiar with the U.S. politics is the equally massive obstruction he faced from a republican majority in the House.
Add to all of those the spectacular annihilation of the number one enemy of the U.S.A he promised and carried out, matching the incredulity of the 9/11 attack on the nation which has raised the credibility and image of the US and its President as a force not to be taken lightly.
In short the stature of the President has grown beyond that of any of the potential contenders for a long time to come. If President Obama decides to contest a third term, for which he may have plenty of reasons, there won't be many happy contenders.

Unique Bond of a Leader With His Social Web.

The truth is without the social web and its immense and electrifying power the mystery of Obama would never have happened. At least in such a short time. This special bond which shaped before the 2008 election, which owes to his youth and awareness of the potential of the social media to take his message to a young and savvy supporters will be stronger and forceful in imposing an obligation on himself to pursue the reforms and changing of the United States which he had undertaken but not quite finished. This is indeed the bond which has rendered Obama as the only a Super PAC slaying democrat. In fact, there is no leader in either party who can claim anything similar to this phenomenon which will end if Obama decides not to run for a third term. It is hard to see how the democrats will let that happen.

The Fiscal Deficit.
During the Democratic convention Bill Clinton asserted that one term is too short to remedy the fiscal damage created by the previous administration. But he didn't say two terms are sufficient. Even the president estimates a minimum of a decade, that too if he can get on with it unhindered. As it is, with a majority in the house, it is questionable how much he can achieve. But if the electorate can see reason and buy the president's argument to grant him a second term, they are very likely to go with him for a third if the going is good.

Will Hilary? Won't Hilary?
The big question for the next election is who the Democratic Party candidate is going to be. It is said that Hilary Clinton will be the first choice if she will contest. But if she is ready for it, she couldn't have stayed away from the campaign as she did, leaving Bill Clinton to let everyone second guess. If anything, Hilary has sent out the impression of an overworked diplomat who needs some rest and certainly not the sign of some one hungry for the power of the First Woman President of the U.S.A and ready to go for it. Hilary must know that at the age of seventy, putting up your feet is a lot more comfortable than the gruelling chair in the oval office.

Changing Demographics.
The demographic which gave the most support to the Republicans yesterday was elderly white people--not exactly the men and women of tomorrow. The age-group that gave Obama the most support was the young. White people supported Romney more than Obama; the country is becoming steadily less white. African-Americans, Latinos and Asian Americans overwhelmingly supported Obama. Latinos and Asian Americans are the fastest-growing categories of our population.Q&As, Washington Post
Much has been written about the demographic shift in the US electorate which has turned in favour of Obama on account of his policies and the indifference of the GOP. This shift which will widen in the next election will be another compulsion for a obliging and liberal president not to give up too soon.

Shrinking Election Cycle and The Number Crunchers.
If only it was actually 4 years - 2 years is more like it. With so many people making a living talking and writing about politics, we'll be starting the next election cycle in 2 years, max.Q&As, Washington Post
The impact of the social media, social web, and a huge number of people who have taken election related professions which consumed 2 Billion dollars in the recent election, the election cycle has been reduced to a perennial activity for analysts, strategists and others who predict the outcome. In a way, the next election cycle has already begun and an incumbent president becomes part of the cycle. President Obama has to weigh in if his next term will be enough, especially with the republican majority in the house and obvious absence of an able successor, to achieve his goals. Chances are he will see the need for a third term much like President Franklin Roosevelt before him.

For those willing to ponder, there could be any number of subtle signs of a prolonged Presidency of Barack Obama one can't ignore. After all it is not as hard as searching for a needle in the hay stack.

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