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Everyone agrees that the self appointed next Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi, is a fragmenting character. Did the US Ambassador to India, Nancy Powell see the writings on the wall and decided to throw in the towel because Washington won’t see?

Can the United States and the rest of the world, already beleaguered by a divisive and aggressive Putin in Europe, deal with a North South divide of a strong India, a guarantee against aggressive China, on top of all other kinds of splintering Narendra Modi seems to have abetted so far?

To list out the divisions Modi has achieved so far, critics can point out his hype of Gujarat Model Development, his professed Urban support base, his orchestrated cyber follower base, the blind admiration of young techies he has mustered and numerous other factors which the rest of India lack, as Modi’s own versus the rest of India which divide the  fabric of India in some undesirable way.

 “Give me three hundred seats and I will empower the nation”  Narendra Modi , who has so far been refused a US visa on account of his role in 2002 religious riots in Gujarat, has stated in a pre election speech.


It is the political ambition of Narendra Modi beyond India which should get everyone, especially the United States, worried. Like Vladimir Putin, who in his quest for asserting his authority to the world  seems to be blowing up Russian passion and nationalism, Narendra Modi, seem to inflame old Dravidian and anti Hindi feelings and accelerate a North South divide, basically weakening India.

Dictators  had often orchestrated some legitimate ploy like getting ‘elected’ to a leadership position of some apparently democratic body  or a less dignified coup of another dictator,  to appoint themselves to positions of absolute power.

What Narendra Modi has done to be his party’s Prime Ministerial candidate, though ostensibly democratic, is nothing less.

By staging a sort of Internal coup upon his own mentor and PM hopeful L K Advani and other senior leaders, Modi has simply usurped the power and authority he needed to  push ahead with his campaign to grab the power in Delhi and decimate the party.

Modi, in his quest to fulfil his ambition, has split his own party, which is clear from the  squabbles before and during the distribution of seats and selection of constituencies which were enforced upon grumbling  party seniors and other candidates by Modi and his henchmen.

Modi, with the religious ideology of Hindutwa, a fact which has been held against him right from the beginning of his career, is a polarising leader and poses the greatest threat of division for the secular  India along religious lines, irrespective of whether he wins the election.

His control of BJP seems complete as the campaigners of the party now say Narendra Modi indeed is the BJP. However, the repercussions of his winning the election on the rest of India’s political system, which seems to be heading for a divide will define the course and place of India in the world in the coming decade.

Judging from various opinion polls, the  hugely funded and managed campaign of the investors to install Modi in New Delhi seems to be succeeding, abetted by a wrongly placed enthusiasm of India’s new generation of voters who believe Modi will deliver them all western comforts they crave for.


However the abundance of western money which has flown in to India in the past couple of decades has accelerated different parochial ambitions, which were present and manifested from time to time even when India was really a poor nation.

Many of these regional parties have been asserting their authority over the government in New Delhi by causing all sorts of obstructions inside and outside the parliament, making the governance of India by a central government all but impossible.

India in 2014, with the breakup of the southern state of Andhra, and the ascend of regional parties in other states like West Bengal and Tamil Nadu, is indeed more fragmented than in the previous elections but not subscribing to the Hindutwa ideology as much as the BJP would have liked.

Though many of them have aligned with the BJP in previous governments, there is a very strong feeling among these regional parties that Modi’s intentions are really sinister, which has forced them to come out openly against  Narendra Modi and any post poll alliance with him.

This means even if Modi and his BJP can muster an absolute majority in the parliament and form a constitutional government based on the seats they gain from the Hindi speaking northern India, in reality, Modi will be faced with the same obstructionist environment as the present government, rendering any big ticket development  promised by Modi  virtually impossible.

Ascendancy of an aggressive Modi will crystallise this anti Modi sentiment to a formidable force making governance all but impossible.  If Modi and the BJP fail to get a majority, despite the surveys, the same forces might form a new government,  but the reality of the North South divide will remain
and perhaps acquire clearer shape and character.


Either way, India as a secular Union of people with different language and culture is losing credibility and clout which it deserves and for which it freedom fighters fought for generations. Whether the rest of the world will gain or not will be a matter of history. 








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2 comments:

  1. Most of the part portray prejudice. Only if they by force try to implement Hindi as National language the South North issue erupt. I don't think anybody will dare to do that.

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